Sample MIDTERM 1 : Solutions
1
a) Since
the nominal cashflows grow at the inflation rate, the real cashflows are just
constant. The real cashflow
corresponding to C1 = 328/1.03 = 318.45. The remaining real cashflows are the same.
b)
The real discount rate for the first 2 years = 1.08/1.025 – 1 = 5.3659%
The
real discount rate for the next 2 years = 1.08/1.04 – 1 = 3.8462%
So
we have to use 5.3659% per year between time 0 and time 2, and 3.8462% between
time 2 and time 4.
We
can first discount the last two cashflows to time 2, using a discount rate of
3.8462%. Then this PV2
along with the first two cashflows can be discounted back to time 0, using a
discount rate of 5.3659%.
PV2(C3,
C4) = 8000/1.038462 + 8000/1.0384622 = 15,122.09
PV0
of all the cashflows = 8000/1.053659 + (8000 + 15,122.09)/1.0536592 =
28,419.62
2
a) Actual rate = 10.10/600 – 1 = 1.6833% over 2 months
Effective
annual rate involves converting a 2-month rate to a 12 month rate:
(1
+ .016833)12/2 –1 = 10.5347%
b)
Actual rate = 2% over 3 months
Since
payments are monthly, we need to discount using a 1-month effective rate.
Converting
the three month rate to a one month rate, we have:
(1
+ .02)1/3 – 1 = 0.6623%
We
have an annuity with 36 payments of $600 each, to be discounted at a rate of
0.6623% per period.
=>
PV0 = 600/1.006623 + 600/1.0066232
+ . . . + 600/1.00662336
= 19,161.96
3
a) Payout
ratio = .42/1.20 = 35%
Plowback
ratio = 1 - Payout ratio = 65%
Growth
rate = .65 * .14 = 9.1%
D1
= D0*(1+g) = .42 * 1.091 = .4582
P0
= D1/(r – g) = .4582/(.10 - .091) = 50.91
Existing assets will generate earnings of 1.20*1.091 = 1.3092 at time 1.
If the firm makes no more reinvestment, earnings will be constant at 1.3092 forever.
In
other words, the existing assets will generate a perpetuity of 1.3092. So PV of existing assets =
1.3092/.1 = $13.09
=>
PVGO = 50.91 – 13.09 = 37.82
b)
You would first compute the stock price using the actual dividends.
You would then re-compute dividends assuming that reinvested earnings
earn only the required return (i.e. all future investments are zero NPV
investments), and compute the resulting stock price.
The difference between these two stock prices is PVGO.
4
a) IRR for
project A is given by:
-130 + 44/(1+IRRA)
+ 88/(1+ IRRA)2 + 50/(1+ IRRA)3 =
0
Using
a financial calculator, IRRA = 18.43%
IRR
for project B is given by:
-80 - 74.5/(1+IRRB)
+ 158/(1+ IRRC)2 + 50/(1+ IRRC)3 =
0
Using
a financial calculator, IRRB = 18.36%
Since
both IRRs are greater than the required return of 10%, both projects have
positive NPV. We need to look at
the incremental cashflows:
Project
C0
C1
C2
B - A
50,000
-118,500
70,000
IRRB-A
is given by: 5x2
- 11.85x + 7 = 0
=> x = 11.85 ±
(11.852 - 4*5*7)0.5
= 1.12, 1.25 =>
IRR = 12% and 25%
2*5
Since
there are two IRRs, we will have to consider what the NPV curve for B-A looks
like. Since the sum of the
cashflows is positive, the NPV curve has a positive y-axis intercept.
NPV therefore starts out positive, turns negative at 12% and turns
positive again at 25%.
At
a required return of 10%, B-A will have a positive NPV, so we will choose
project B.
b)
A would be chosen at any discount rate higher than 12% and less than 18.43%.
12% comes from the fact that at discount rates greater than 12%, B-A has
a negative NPV, so A has a higher NPV than B.
18.43% comes from the fact that at discount rates greater than 18.43%, A
has a negative NPV. The fact that B
has a more negative NPV doesn’t help; we still don’t want to take A.
5.
Since the land will be used for the project, we have to charge the
project the opportunity cost of the land, which will be it’s market value
today.
So
at time zero, the net cashflow = –150,000
(capital investment) – 25,000 (opportunity cost of the land, treated as part
of the capital investment) - 6,000 (initial working capital) = -181,000.
In
computing net cashflows for the last year, we ignore interest and allocated
overheads but include incremental overheads.
Working
capital requirements each year are:
First
year
6,000
Second
year 6,720
Third
year
7,526.40
Fourth
year
8,429.57
At
the end of the project, we will recover the working capital used during the last
year, i.e. $8,429.57.
At
time 4, the fixed assets will be fully depreciated, and will be sold for
$22,000. The entire sale price is
taxable, so tax = .35*22,000 = 7,700. The
after-tax salvage value = 22,000 – 7,700 = 14,300
The
net cashflows are for the last year are:
Revenue
520,000
-
Variable cost
428,000
-
Fixed cost
23,500
-
Incremental overheads
3,600
-
Depreciation
11,115
(.0741*150000)
= Pre-tax income
53,785
-
Tax (@ 35%)
18,824.75
= Modified N.I.
34,960.25
+
Depreciation
11,115
+
Recovery of W.C.
8,429.57
+
After-tax salvage value
14,300
=
Net cashflows
68,804.82
6
a)
First compute Equivalent Annual Cashflow for the new machine:
NPV
= 18,000/1.09 + … 18,000/1.094
- 50,000 = 58,315.96 - 50,000 = 8,315.96
EAC
is given by
EAC/1.09 + … + EAC/1.094
= 8,315.96
Solving
for the payment that makes the PV of a 4-year annuity equal to 8,315.96, we get
EAC = 2,566.57
Since
the existing machine will last for 3 more years, it must be replaced by time 3.
The
cashflows for the different replacement alternatives are then:
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
Replace
at 0
0
2,566.57
2,566.57
2,566.57
2,566.57 . . .
Replace
at 1 0
5,000
2,566.57 2,566.57
2,566.57 . . .
Replace
at 2 0
5,000
2,500
2,566.57
2,566.57 . . .
Replace
at 3 0
5,000
2,500
1,250
2,566.57 . . .
Cashflows
beyond time 3 are 2,566.57 each year in each case, and can be ignored.
It
is clear that:
--
replacing at time 2 is better than replacing at time 3 (higher cashflow at time
3; all other cashflows equal.)
--
replacing at time 1 is better than replacing at time 2 (higher cashflow at time
2; all other cashflows equal.)
--
replacing at time 1 is better than replacing at time 0 (higher cashflow at time
1; all other cashflows equal.)
=>
the machine should be replaced at time 1 (i.e. the end of the first year or the
beginning of the second year).
b) Assumptions:
|
they will continue in business forever | |
|
once you put in a new machine, it will be replaced every four years by another new machine | |
|
the cashflows for the new machine will be the same at each replacement (it will always cost $50,000 and always generate $18,000 a year) |
7.
The total output per machine is 15,000 (peak season) + 6,750 (off season)
= 21,750 shovels
If
you keep the old machines:
Annual
operating cost = 2*21,750*5 = 217,500
PV
of operating costs = 217,500/0.06 = 3,625,000
If
you replace both machines:
Initial
investment = 2*150,000 = 300,000
Annual
operating cost = 2*21,750*4.2 = 182,700
PV
of costs = 300,000 + 182,7000/0.06 = 3,345,000
Replace
just one machine:
The
new machine is cheaper per unit ($4.20 instead of $5).
In the spring/summer you’ll use only the new machine to get the 13,500
shovels you need. In fall/winter,
you’ll use both machines, to produce 15,000 shovels each.
Output
of new machine = 13,500 + 15,000 = 28,500; output of old machine = 15,000
Initial
investment = 150,000
Annual
operating cost = 28,500*4.20 + 15,000*5 = 194,700
PV
of costs = 150,000 + 194,700/0.06 = 3,395,000
=>
It’s best to replace both machines; that’s what results in the lowest PV of
costs.
8
a) In the context of a corporation the term “agency problem” refers to the
fact that managers will act in the interests of stockholders only instead of
balancing the interests of all the stakeholders in the firm (including
bondholders, employees, customers, suppliers, etc).
F It refers to the fact that
although managers are supposed to act in the interests of stockholders,
sometimes there will be a conflict of interests and they will act in their own
interests.
b) If you have a capital market in which you can lend but not
borrow, you can compute a FV of a time 0 cashflow, but you cannot compute a PV
today for a future cashflow. F
You cannot compute either PV of FV.
c)
Computing stock price as the present
value of just the future dividends ignores the fact that stockholders receive
part of their return through capital gains.
F Capital gains are implicitly
captured. Each stockholder receives
a specific number of dividends, and the capital gain they have when they sell is
captured by the remaining dividends.
d)
Holding other things constant, a
company with valuable growth opportunities (i.e. positive PVGO) will have a high
P/E ratio. T Holding other things
constant, having valuable growth opportunities increases the stock price, and
therefore increases the P/E ratio.
e)
If a company whose required return is10% has future investment
opportunities each year with an NPV equal to 8% of the investment, their stock
would be considered a growth stock. T
Since the NPV is positive, PVGO is positive, so it is a growth stock.
f)
When you are considering just a
single project, and the project has non-conventional cash flows, the investment
decision can be made using IRR alone, if we reverse the IRR rule to make it:
"Accept when IRR is less than required return."
F That works only with borrowing
cashflows, not with all non-conventional
cash flows.
g) If short term and long-term interest rates are not equal,
investment decisions cannot be made using IRR alone.
T IRR
can be used only when there is a flat term structure (yield curve is horizontal,
or short term and long-term interest rates are equal).
h)
If working capital is a fixed
proportion of revenue, and revenues and costs increase at the inflation rate,
nominal cashflows will grow at the inflation rate and real cashflows will be
constant. F Depreciation will not
increase at the inflation rate, so nominal cashflows as a whole will not grow at
the inflation rate.
i) When there is capital rationing, and following the
Profitability Index rule does not fully utilize the budget, we look for the best
combination that fully utilizes the budget.
F The
objective is not to fully
utilize the budget, but to generate the
highest total NPV. We look for the
best combination regardless of whether it fully utilizes the budget.
j)
A project’s cashflows can increase simply because of inflation; only
when capital budgeting is done with real cashflows do we get a reliable
assessment of a project’s worth. F
You get the same NPV whether you work with nominal cashflows or real cashflows;
both methods give you an equally reliable assessment.